Estimating and Testing Multiple Structural Changes in Models with Endogenous Regressors∗
نویسندگان
چکیده
We consider the problem of estimating and testing for multiple breaks in a single equation framework with regressors that are endogenous, i.e., correlated with the errors. First, we show based on standard assumptions about the regressors, instruments and errors that the second stage regression of the instrumental variable procedure involves regressors and errors that satisfy all the assumptions in Perron and Qu (2006) so that the results about consistency, rate of convergence and limit distributions of the estimates of the break dates, as well as the limit distributions of the tests, are obtained as simple consequences. More importantly from a practical perspective, we show that even in the presence of endogenous regressors, it is still preferable to simply estimate the break dates and test for structural change using the usual ordinary least-squares framework. It delivers estimates of the break dates with higher precision and tests with higher power compared to those obtained using an instrumental variable method. JEL Classification Number: C22.
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